Tag Archives: Oil

A New Era of Prosperity for Venezuela?

A New Era of Prosperity for Venezuela?

The death of Venezuela’s thuggish tyrant, Hugo Chavez instantly led to speculation over the country’s future as a top oil exporter. Venezuela’s oil exports have been decreasing since 2000 when the country was exporting three million barrels per day to 1.7 million barrels in 2011.

Chavez essentially nationalised the country’s oil fields to fund whacky social programs, but failed to reinvest in new oil fields and substitute dwindling ones. It will be interesting to see if Petroleos de Venezuela, S.A will manage to lure - or even accept - more investments from abroad following Chavez’s passing. It’s possible that Chavez’s death will spur a new era of pragmatism within the country’s largely socialist leadership.

Chavez, who once referred to George W. Bush as the devil, might have done his beloved Venezuela a huge service by dying young and thus putting an end to the socialist experiment. Ironically, the despotic leader got a chance to meet the devil much before W’s eventual ascent to the pearly gates.

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The Death of a Tyrant

The Death of a Tyrant

The president of Venezuela, Hugo Chavez died on Tuesday after a long battle with cancer. For many Venezuelans, Chavez was an oppressive tyrant with very little toleration for free speech while others lauded him as the champion of the poor and wretched. Reactions across the globe varied, Iran and Cuba expressing their deepest condolences while many Western leaders showed indifference to Chavez’s passing while simultaneously expressing support for the Venezuelan people. Throughout Chavez’s political career, U.S Congress showed deep hostility towards the self-proclaimed leader of the anti-American opposition. What Chavez’s death means for oil prices is an interesting question. Venezuela, which sits on the world’s second-largest oil reserves, might struggle with oil production in the near future.

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An Air of Uncertainty

An Air of Uncertainty

European markets showed signs of deep suspicion over the looming sequestration in the US and the Italian elections which might make or break the euro. The scheduled data releases for the coming week include euro-zone manufacturer prices and the Spanish unemployment numbers. Additionally, the U.S. Fed vice-chair Janet Yellen will deliver a speech and eurozone finance ministers meet and greet in Brussels to deliberate the situations in Italy and Cyprus. Just before the markets open, the euro is frailer than during evening trading in New York on Friday and crude oil is sinking while gold is still sound.

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Black Gold

Black Gold Ain’t Goin’ Nowhere

Heating oil rose to its highest level in almost four months prompting discussions and predictions over the likelihood of heating oil becoming an increasingly sought-after commodity in the next few years.

As snowstorms rage in the U.S. Northeast talks about climate change have increased. These talks have also propelled questions about climate change and the severity of the threat it poses. However, if the cooling of the last decade continues, heating oil will not become a superfluous commodity any time soon. On the contrary, the demand for oil will intensify and subsequently lead to a hike in oil prices.

Investors who want to make money it is important to look at concrete demand, not demand manufactured by politicians charmed by the green movement. The development of alternative energy resources is important for a variety of reasons, but not always essential and often groundbreaking innovations turn out failures.

For example, global temperatures have declined for the past decade, and will likely continue to decline for several years to come.

The fact remains, oil is still the most cost-effective energy source and it would be a haunting task for any incumbent politician running for reelection to pontificate about the nobility of green energy as an alternative to that cheap black gold most Americans living outside of Florida and California would refer to as a god-given material.

Oil is not becoming a thing of the past any time soon and it would be silly for any country to forsake it for the fear of climate change which, after all, does not seem to a fear grounded in facts, especially if recent weather patterns are an indication.

 

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Oil Production Facilities

Quo Vadis Oleum Si Chavez It?

Venezuela, one of the biggest global oil producers, is facing growing uncertainty as President Hugo Chavez is battling serious post-cancer surgery complications in Cuba a few days before he is slated to be sworn in for an unprecedented third term in office.

Chavez transformed a struggling democracy into a struggling police state and now holds the keys to the country’s massive oil production facilities. Where Chavez’s regime goes, there goes oil.

Chavez mandated majority PDVSA (Venezuelan state-owned oil and natural gas company) ownership of all international oil projects and in 2006, he applied the nationalization of oil exploration and production in Venezuela. Statistics reveal that Venezuela’s petroleum exports fell by nearly 50 percent since hitting 3.06 million barrels per day in 1997.

After coming into power, Chavez fired a large percentage of PDVSA workers who did not support him and, as a result, the state-owned oil company lacked funds and talent to maintain steady production. He further complicated things by seizing assets of foreign oil companies that were the main contributors to Venezuela’s production growth.

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Oil Stocks

Quo Vadis, Oil?

The conventional wisdom tells us that the price of oil is determined by the events in the Middle East. Several of the largest oil producing states are in the Middle East, therefore any turmoil in the region impacts the price of oil. However, recent developments in alternative energy sources around the world and America’s rising status as a major oil producer might very well bring a halt to rising oil prices.

The price of black gold has been rising for decades and the ever-present disorder in the Middle East has done little to bring down the prices. Interestingly the oil prices have fallen from about $92 a barrel to $84 a barrel since the beginning of October until the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas. Analysts expect that overall trend of declining oil prices continues – regardless of occasional flare-ups in Arabia.

The question is: what happens when the Middle East no longer determines the price of oil? We might actually witness barrel prices plunge under the magical 50 buck marker. Imagine, Arabs won’t stop fighting, but the West enjoys an abundance of cheap oil.

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