Crude oil prices are set to drop further still. Prices have already sunk a dramatic 17% after the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries met on 27th November; they decided against cutting production, despite the new high supplies from US shale producers. Now, to add to the pressure, OPEC has said in their monthly report that global demand for crude is weakening.
As prices drop, discord heightens. The economies of OPEC countries are all heavily dependent on the commodity, and current prices are below what 10 of the 12 members (Kuwait and Qatar are the exceptions) require so that their annual budgets break even.
The group’s largest member, the world’s biggest oil producer, Saudi Arabia, is staying stubborn. “Why should I cut production?” asked the country’s oil minister.
Saudi Arabia has huge financial reserves and a long-term interest in pushing other oil producers aside. Yet it is facing ever-increasing opposition. An Iranian Oil Minister expressed concern that prices could drop to below $50 per barrel. Iraq is being forced to offer the biggest price discounts in Asia in 11 years. Venezuela’s Foreign Minister added his voice to the debate too: “Our position on OPEC is that they defend the fair price of our oil…we don’t believe in the free market.”
Is the Ruble a Risk?
The Russian government is desperate to ensure that the slide of the Ruble doesn’t continue into 2015. The currency has lost 40% this year, largely due to falling oil prices and the international sanctions imposed during Russia’s war in Ukraine. That’s why Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev is now encouraging large companies to curb their sales of foreign revenues, at the same time as asking the Russian public to be patient.
He warned yesterday that people risk losing out long term if they convert their savings into foreign currency, and repeated the Kremlin’s official line that they are not responsible for imposing or lifting the sanctions. He also said that he keeps his own money in Rubles. Will the Russian public believe and trust him?

